Disappearing Equatorial Icecaps

Reporting online in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, the first survey in a decade of glaciers in the Rwenzori Mountains, East Africa, has found that an increase in air temperature over the last four decades has contributed to a substantial reduction in glacial cover.

The Rwenzori Mountains – also known as the ‘Mountains of the Moon’ – straddle the border between the Democratic Republic of Congo and the Republic of Uganda. They are home to one of four remaining tropical ice fields outside of the Andes and are renowned for their spectacular and rare Afroalpine flora and fauna. The mountains’ legendary status was established during the 2nd century when the Greek geographer Ptolemy made the seemingly preposterous but ultimately accurate proclamation that the River Nile was supplied by snow-capped mountains at the equator in Africa: “The Mountains of the Moon whose snows feed the lakes, sources of the Nile”.

The glaciers were first surveyed a century ago when glacial cover over the entire range was estimated to be 6.5 square kilometres. Recent field surveys and satellite mapping of glaciers conducted by UCL with researchers from Makerere University, Uganda and the Ugandan Water Resources Management Department show that some glaciers are receding tens of metres each year and that the area covered by glaciers halved between 1987 and 2003.

The team found that since the 1960s there are clear trends toward increased air temperature around the Rwenzori Mountains without significant changes in precipitation. With less than one square kilometre of glacier ice remaining, glaciers are expected to disappear within the next twenty years if present trends continue.

Dr Richard Taylor, of the UCL Department of Geography who led the study, says:

“Recession of these tropical glaciers sends an unambiguous message of a changing climate in this region of the tropics. Considerable scientific debate exists, however, as to whether changes in temperature or precipitation are responsible for the shrinking of glaciers in the East African Highlands that also include Kilimanjaro and Mount Kenya.”

A key focus of the UCL led research is the impact of climate change on water resources in Africa. Their on-going work highlights that glacial recession in Rwenzori Mountains is not expected to have a significant effect on alpine river flow due to the small size of the remaining glaciers. However, it remains unclear how the projected loss of the glaciers will affect tourism and the traditional belief systems of the local BaKonzo people. Nzururu, the local word for snow and ice, is the father of the spirits who are responsible for human life, its continuity and its welfare.

“Considering the continent’s negligible contribution to global greenhouse-gas emissions, it is a terrible irony that Africa, according to current predictions, will be most affected by climate change,” added Dr Taylor.

“Furthermore, the rise in air temperature is consistent with other regional studies that show how dramatic increases in malaria in the East African Highlands may arise, in part, from warmer temperatures as mosquitoes are able to colonise previously inhospitable highland areas.”

3 thoughts on “Disappearing Equatorial Icecaps”

  1. “The team found that since the 1960s there are clear trends toward increased air temperature around the Rwenzori Mountains without significant changes in precipitation.”

    The same Taylor had a study last year:

    “Recent field observations of glacial termini retreat and analysis of LandSat imagery
    confirm that rapid glacial recession observed on the Rwenzori Mountains of East
    Africa from 1906 to 1990, continues unabated. Measurements of meltwater flows
    from glacial termini show that, contrary to speculation, recent glacial recession has
    had an infinitesimal, direct impact on river discharge. The climatological implications
    of rapid deglaciation in the East African Highlands and their relation to increased
    incidence of malaria are of considerable debate. Few highland meteorological measurements exist in the Rwenzori Mountains but statistical analysis of lowland meteorological records together with NCEP reanalysis data suggest a small but significant
    rise in air temperature and a slight decline in precipitation. Records of river discharge
    at the base of the Rwenzori Mountains, a proxy for alpine precipitation, are limited but
    consistent with a declining trend in precipitation. The evidence suggest that, beyond
    an abrupt and destablising shift to less humid conditions since the late 19th century,
    climate changes (i.e. increased air temperature, decreased precipitation) in the Rwenzori Highlands during the 20th century have contributed to rapid glacial recession.”

  2. It’s not on to simply lift an article from someone else’s publication. It is okay if it’s a press release, that’s what they’re for.

    You not have noticed that your posting actually contains The Economist’s doubleclick ad, which thanks to our antispam system only showed up as code rather than a running that could have got us into trouble with both the Econ and Doubleclick.

    Anyway, the full story on how “this year [2004, Ed.] the ice-free season started on July 28th…” can be read here –

    http://www.economist.com/business/displayStory.cfm?story_id=3276015

    Thanks

    Dave

  3. The key word is “significant” – presumably as in statistically significant.

    First quote:

    The team found that since the 1960s there are clear trends toward increased air temperature around the Rwenzori Mountains without significant changes in precipitation.

    Second quote:

    …statistical analysis of lowland meteorological records together with NCEP reanalysis data suggest a small but significant rise in air temperature and a slight decline in precipitation.

    You’ll notice in the second quote that the rise in air temperature is noted as being significant, but not the “slight decline” in precipitation.

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